I agree its damn early with 15 people playing the only way I think to have a strong team 1-5 is to use your TNA pick last.
The theory is, like you said, 3, 4 and 5 are swappable and if someone debuts during the game and you win them you could get away with it.
Its a tricky one but look at the current game at HTGTH, the 2nd highest TNA scorer, nobody even picked!
'Twas Angelina Love by the way.